Tag Archives: Deflation

Mixed signals for 2016; deflation still the global risk

Investors enter 2016 divided on outlook: economic signals are mixed. The global economy is out of sync; with growth in the UK and US, but a slowdown in the developing world. How should investors position for the year ahead? Investors who were under-weight in oil, mining and industrials in 2015 might be forgiven for feeling […]

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Should we worry about China?

Investors struggle with bubbles. Sure, we know they eventually burst, but lessons are quickly forgotten. Now China is a puzzle: it might look like a bubble, but what to do? Uncontrolled Yen devaluation could break China’s Renminbi peg and trigger more global deflation. But, timing and is hard to assess. Analysts and the press pay […]

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QE’s unintended consequences: Pension deficits to hit balance sheets

QE is having some serious unintended consequences, increasing pension scheme deficits and hitting company finances. Driven by liquidity and deflation fears, UK government stock, gilts, beat shares and most other asset classes in 2014. Long dated gilts gained over 20%. The trend has even accelerated already this year. Yet many UK pension funds, endowments and […]

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